[1] Schwartz M D. Green-wave phenology[J]. Nature, 1998, 394(6696):839-840.
[2] Menzel A, Fabian P. Growing season extend in Europe[J]. Nature, 1999, 397(6721):659-659. doi: 10.1038/17709
[3] Shen M G, Tang Y H, Chen J, et al. Earlier-season vegetation has greater temperature sensitivity of spring phenology in Northern Hemisphere[J].Plos One, 2014, 9(2):e88178. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0088178
[4] Piao S L, Tan J G, Chen A P, et al. Leaf onset in the northern hemisphere triggered by daytime temperature[J]. Nature Communications, 2015, 6:6911. doi: 10.1038/ncomms7911
[5] 方修琦, 余卫红.物候对全球变暖响应的研究综述[J].地球科学进展, 2002, 17(5):714-719. doi: 10.3321/j.issn:1001-8166.2002.05.013
[6] 武永峰, 李茂松, 刘布春, 等.基于NOAA NDVI的中国植被绿度始期变化[J].地理科学进展, 2008, 27(6):32-40.
[7] Yang Y T, Guan H D, Shen M G, et al. Changes in autumn vegetation dormancy onset date and the climate controls across temperate ecosystems in China from 1982 to 2010[J]. Global Change Biology, 2015, 21(2):652-665.
[8] Piao S L, Fang J Y, Zhou L M, et al. Variations in satellite-derived phenology in China's temperate vegetation[J]. Global Change Biology, 2006, 12(4):672-685. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01123.x
[9] Fu Y H, Piao S L, Beeck M O D, et al. Recent spring phenology shifts in western Central Europe based on multiscale observations[J]. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 2014, 23(11):1255-1263. doi: 10.1111/geb.12210
[10] Jeong S J, Ho C H, Gim H J, et al. Phenology shifts at start vs. end of growing season in temperate vegetation over the Northern Hemisphere for the period 1982-2008[J]. Global Change Biology, 2011, 17(7):2385-2399. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02397.x
[11] 陈效逑, 王林海.遥感物候学研究进展[J].地理科学进展, 2009, 28(1):33-40.
[12] Shen M G, Piao S L, Cong N, et al. Precipitation impacts on vegetation spring phenology on the Tibetan Plateau[J]. Global Change Biology, 2015, 21(10):3647-3656. doi: 10.1111/gcb.12961
[13] Cong N, Wang T, Nan H J, et al. Changes in satellite-derived spring vegetation green-up date and its linkage to climate in China from 1982 to 2010:a multimethod analysis[J]. Global Change Biology, 2013, 19(3):881-891. doi: 10.1111/gcb.12077
[14] Fu Y H, Piao S L, Zhao H F, et al. Unexpected role of winter precipitation in determining heat requirement for spring vegetation green-up at northern middle and high latitudes[J]. Global Change Biology, 2014, 20(12):3743-3755. doi: 10.1111/gcb.12610
[15] Zhang X Y, Tarpley D, Sullivan J T. Diverse responses of vegetation phenology to a warming climate[J]. Geophysical Research Letters, 2007, 34(19):L19405. doi: 10.1029/2007GL031447
[16] Yu H Y, Luedeling E, Xu J C. Winter and spring warming result in delayed spring phenology on the Tibetan Plateau[J]. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2010, 107(51):22151-22156. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1012490107
[17] 范德芹, 赵学胜, 郑周涛.内蒙古羊草草原物候及其对气候变化的响应[J].地理与地理信息科学, 2016, 32(6):81-86. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1672-0504.2016.06.014
[18] Ren S L, Chen X Q, An S. Assessing plant senescence reflectance index-retrieved vegetation phenology and its spatio temporal response to climate change in the Inner Mongolian Grassland[J]. International Journal of Biometeorology, 2017, 61(4):601-612. doi: 10.1007/s00484-016-1236-6
[19] 顾润源, 周伟灿, 白美兰, 等.气候变化对内蒙古草原典型植物物候的影响[J].生态学报, 2012, 32(3):767-776.
[20] 李珍存, 马明国, 张峰, 等. 1982-2003年中国西北地区植被动态变化格局分析[J].遥感技术与应用, 2006, 21(4):332-337. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-0323.2006.04.012
[21] Myneni R B, Dong J, Tucker C J, et al. A large carbon sink in the woody biomass of Northern forests[J]. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2001, 98(26):14784-14789. doi: 10.1073/pnas.261555198
[22] 王军邦, 王居午, 叶辉, 等. 2000-2012年全国气温和降水1 km网格空间插值数据集. [DB/OL]Science Data Bank. DOI: 10.11922/sciencedb.319.
[23] 中国科学院中国植被图编辑委员会. 1:1000000中国植被图集[M].北京:科学出版社, 2001.
[24] Wu X C, Liu H Y. Consistent shifts in spring vegetation green-up date across temperate biomes in China, 1982-2006[J]. Global Change Biology, 2013, 19(3):870-880. doi: 10.1111/gcb.12086
[25] Peng S S, Piao S L, Ciais P, et al. Asymmetric effects of daytime and night-time warming on Northern Hemisphere vegetation[J]. Nature, 2013, 501(7465):88-92. doi: 10.1038/nature12434
[26] Yu F F, Price K P, Ellis J, et al. Response of seasonal vegetation development to climatic variations in eastern central Asia[J]. Remote Sensing of Environment, 2003, 87(1):42-54. doi: 10.1016/S0034-4257(03)00144-5
[27] Shen M G, Piao S L, Chen X Q, et al. Strong impacts of daily minimum temperature on the green-up date and summer greenness of the Tibetan Plateau[J]. Global Change Biology, 2016, 22(9):3057-3066. doi: 10.1111/gcb.13301
[28] Cong N, Shen M G, Piao S L. Spatial variations in responses of vegetation autumn phenology to climate change on the Tibetan Plateau[J]. Journal of Plant Ecology, 2017, 10(5):744-752.
[29] Shen X J, Liu B H, Henderson M, et al. Asymmetric effects of daytime and nighttime warming on spring phenology in the temperate grasslands of China[J]. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 2018, 259:240-249. doi: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.05.006
[30] Walther G R, Post E, Convey P, et al. Ecological responses to recent climate change[J]. Nature, 2002, 416(6879):389-395. doi: 10.1038/416389a
[31] Chen X Q, Hu B, Yu R. Spatial and temporal variation of phenological growing season and climate change impacts in temperate eastern China[J]. Global Change Biology, 2005, 11(7):1118-1130. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2005.00974.x
[32] 丛楠, 沈妙根. 1982-2009年基于卫星数据的北半球中高纬地区植被春季物候动态及其与气候的关系[J].应用生态学报, 2016, 27(9):2737-2746.
[33] Richardson A D, Bailey A S, Denny E G, et al. Phenology of a northern hardwood forest canopy[J]. Global Change Biology, 2006, 12(7):1174-1188. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01164.x
[34] Parmesan C, Yohe G. A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems[J]. Nature, 2003, 421(6918):37-42. doi: 10.1038/nature01286
[35] Saxe H, Cannell M G R, Johnsen Ø, et al. Tree and forest functioning in response to global warming[J]. New Phytologist, 2001, 149(3):369-399.
[36] Badeck F W, Bondeau A, Bottcher K, et al. Responses of spring phenology to climate change[J]. New Phytologist, 2004, 162(2):295-309. doi: 10.1111/j.1469-8137.2004.01059.x
[37] Barnett T P, Adams J C, Lettenmaier D P. Potential impacts of a warming climate on water availability in snow-dominated regions[J]. Nature, 2005, 438(7066):303-309. doi: 10.1038/nature04141
[38] Adam J C, Hamlet A F, Lettenmaier D P. Implications of global climate change for snowmelt hydrology in the twenty-first century[J]. Hydrological Processes, 2009, 23(7):962-972. doi: 10.1002/hyp.7201
[39] Tezara W, Mitchell V J, Driscoll S D, et al. Water stress inhibits plant photosynthesis by decreasing coupling factor and ATP[J]. Nature, 1999, 401(6756):914-917. doi: 10.1038/44842
[40] Kramer K, Leinonen I, Loustau D. The importance of phenology for the evaluation of impact of climate change on growth of boreal, temperate and Mediterranean forests ecosystems:an overview[J]. International Journal of Biometeorology, 2000, 44(2):67-75. doi: 10.1007/s004840000066
[41] Xu J C, Grumbine R E, Shrestha A B, et al. The Melting Himalayas:Cascading Effects of Climate Change on Water, Biodiversity, and Livelihoods[J]. Conservation Biology, 2009, 23(3):520-530. doi: 10.1111/j.1523-1739.2009.01237.x
[42] Jolly W M, Running S W. Effects of precipitation and soil water potential on drought deciduous phenology in the Kalahari[J]. Global Change Biology, 2004, 10(3):303-308. doi: 10.1046/j.1365-2486.2003.00701.x